IMF最新全球GDP预测：正增长还看中印 | 双语

国际货币基金组织6月24日表示，新冠疫情引发的经济衰退将比它在4月时所做的预测更严重，据此各国政府将背上更沉重的债务。Doom and zoomThe IMF’s grim outlookHigh debts and high asset prices worry Washington wonks

ON JUNE 24TH the IMF said that the economic slump caused by the covid-19 pandemic would be worse than it forecast in April, and that governments would be left more indebted as a result. The fund thinks that advanced economies’ combined GDP at the end of 2021 will still be lower than it was in the first quarter of 2019. But it warned of an unusual degree of uncertainty surrounding the numbers, which assume persistent social distancing, lower productivity and widespread economic scarring. The fund also pointed out the “disconnect” between this grim outlook and high asset prices.

更加暗淡IMF的严峻预测高负债和高资产价格令华盛顿的经济专家担忧

国际货币基金组织6月24日表示，新冠疫情引发的经济衰退将比它在4月时所做的预测更严重，据此各国政府将背上更沉重的债务。该组织认为，发达经济体到2021年底的总GDP仍将低于2019年第一季度的水平。但它也提醒，这些数字是在假定社交隔离持续、生产率下降和经济广泛受创的情况下得出的，存在很大的不确定性。它也指出这一悲观预测与目前的高资产价格相“脱节”。

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